Motorola, Mobility, Google, Android, Handset | Google to buy Motorola Mobility for $12.5B
Is this about serving customers...or lawyers. Google can pay the shareholders or the law firms. This spreads the wealth.
As for Motorola, a once great heritage continues to be dismantled. They will end up on the wrong side of business case studies for years to come.
Their executive mismanagement, unfortunately left them on the...Razr's edge.
News and Trends with a focus on the Tech Sector: Electronics, Semiconductors, Solar / Photovoltaic, Nano-materials and more.
Monday, August 15, 2011
Google, Motorola, Android, Patents, Apple, Microsoft | Google's Moto bid: It's all about the patents
Google, Motorola, Android, Patents, Apple, Microsoft | Google's Moto bid: It's all about the patents
Don't think of it as a very expensive acquisition. Think of it as a pre-emptive out of court settlement...that is very expensive.
Don't think of it as a very expensive acquisition. Think of it as a pre-emptive out of court settlement...that is very expensive.
Wednesday, July 20, 2011
Apple, IPads, IPhones, IPods, Foxconn | Apple still can't keep up with iPad demand
Apple, IPads, IPhones, IPods, Foxconn | Apple still can't keep up with iPad demand
Apple is a master at portfolio management. The 'product line transition' mentioned by Tim Cook is an interesting statement. It may be, as the author suggests, a shift to a software / OS update that may cause consumers to delay purchases. But, I have been wondering what the eventual iPod portfolio will look like.
When do they kill the iPod Classic? It's interface doesn't seem to fit with the rest of their platform. Has the time come to boost the iPod touch memory to leave headroom for the iPhone memory to expand?
I don't have sales numbers but, has the iPod shuffle outlived its usefulness. If you need something that small then, Nano offers a compact device with a mini-screen. Of course there is a huge difference in price from the Shuffle to the Nano. But with a very limited feature set the Shuffle offers a limited value and therefore it is priced at $49 v. $149 for an entry level Nano. Is it time to clip this lowest end of the portfolio?
The next 6 months worth of new product announcements will be interesting. Apple's touch screen is the portal to the future of consumer electronics.
Apple is a master at portfolio management. The 'product line transition' mentioned by Tim Cook is an interesting statement. It may be, as the author suggests, a shift to a software / OS update that may cause consumers to delay purchases. But, I have been wondering what the eventual iPod portfolio will look like.
When do they kill the iPod Classic? It's interface doesn't seem to fit with the rest of their platform. Has the time come to boost the iPod touch memory to leave headroom for the iPhone memory to expand?
I don't have sales numbers but, has the iPod shuffle outlived its usefulness. If you need something that small then, Nano offers a compact device with a mini-screen. Of course there is a huge difference in price from the Shuffle to the Nano. But with a very limited feature set the Shuffle offers a limited value and therefore it is priced at $49 v. $149 for an entry level Nano. Is it time to clip this lowest end of the portfolio?
The next 6 months worth of new product announcements will be interesting. Apple's touch screen is the portal to the future of consumer electronics.
Monday, July 18, 2011
Greentech Media Group News | LinkedIn
Greentech Media Group News | LinkedIn
THEY LAUGHED AT EDISON...
This is the beginning of a revolution. It will take years to build the needed infra-structure. But, it will come. During that time battery storage technology will improve. Along with this will be further advancements in material sciences. The automotive industry will reinvent itself.
We had more horses than vehicles over 125 years ago. But, people from that era wouldn't recognize today's society. The investment in such an infra-structure may seem dauntingly high. But, was it any less ambitious to invest in a national interstate system? Was it less ambitious to shed our kerosene burning ways for a national power grid investment?
It takes vision beyond the horizon of our own mortality to conceive of what tomorrow will be. But, tomorrow will come.
THEY LAUGHED AT EDISON...
This is the beginning of a revolution. It will take years to build the needed infra-structure. But, it will come. During that time battery storage technology will improve. Along with this will be further advancements in material sciences. The automotive industry will reinvent itself.
We had more horses than vehicles over 125 years ago. But, people from that era wouldn't recognize today's society. The investment in such an infra-structure may seem dauntingly high. But, was it any less ambitious to invest in a national interstate system? Was it less ambitious to shed our kerosene burning ways for a national power grid investment?
It takes vision beyond the horizon of our own mortality to conceive of what tomorrow will be. But, tomorrow will come.
Wednesday, July 6, 2011
New iPhone 5 Thinner Lighter & Packing 8MP Camera A Bit Like The Galaxy S 2 - Channel News
New iPhone 5 Thinner Lighter & Packing 8MP Camera A Bit Like The Galaxy S 2 - Channel News
iPhone 5 Thinner, lighter, high resolution camera (time to re-gift my 5MP digital camera).
But, no word on memory. I am expecting it to have a 32GB headroom. Apple is a master of portfolio management. The sooner they add 64-100GB in an iPhone, the sooner they will kill their own iPod. This is not likely any time soon. Of course when killer multi-media requires much more memory than the current iPod sports then both lines can move up and remain a distinct product line separation. I am not sure what will justify this. Perhaps if you can store your movie collection on an iPhone and connect it to your TV and still maintain HD Video, thereby obsolescing your DVD player...probably not any time soon. Perhaps a killer app that controls your networked home from lighting, HVAC, to security alarm with security video all requiring significant data and programming space.... Probably not there yet. Although, you can use it as a remote for your tv. Perhaps something integrated into car electronics including diagnostics....
Whatever it is I am sure Apple or their partners will devise some reason for us to quench the insatiable thirst for memory to enable something that doesn't exist today.
iPhone 5 Thinner, lighter, high resolution camera (time to re-gift my 5MP digital camera).
But, no word on memory. I am expecting it to have a 32GB headroom. Apple is a master of portfolio management. The sooner they add 64-100GB in an iPhone, the sooner they will kill their own iPod. This is not likely any time soon. Of course when killer multi-media requires much more memory than the current iPod sports then both lines can move up and remain a distinct product line separation. I am not sure what will justify this. Perhaps if you can store your movie collection on an iPhone and connect it to your TV and still maintain HD Video, thereby obsolescing your DVD player...probably not any time soon. Perhaps a killer app that controls your networked home from lighting, HVAC, to security alarm with security video all requiring significant data and programming space.... Probably not there yet. Although, you can use it as a remote for your tv. Perhaps something integrated into car electronics including diagnostics....
Whatever it is I am sure Apple or their partners will devise some reason for us to quench the insatiable thirst for memory to enable something that doesn't exist today.
Friday, July 1, 2011
CIGS solar cells fabbed with inkjet printers at OSU - ElectroIQ
CIGS solar cells fabbed with inkjet printers at OSU - ElectroIQ
Oregon State University has successfully deposited thin film onto a substrate to create a CIGS solar cell using inkjet printing technology. Advancements in this approach will further lower the cost of creating solar cells.
The efficiency was only 5% which is not commercially viable. Also, this was done in a university setting. This would need to be proven in scaled production. But, it still represents an advancement. As efficiency improvement breakthroughs are made this could change the model for thin film solar manufacturing that will ultimately offer a cost competitive solar energy solution.
Oregon State University has successfully deposited thin film onto a substrate to create a CIGS solar cell using inkjet printing technology. Advancements in this approach will further lower the cost of creating solar cells.
The efficiency was only 5% which is not commercially viable. Also, this was done in a university setting. This would need to be proven in scaled production. But, it still represents an advancement. As efficiency improvement breakthroughs are made this could change the model for thin film solar manufacturing that will ultimately offer a cost competitive solar energy solution.
Saturday, June 11, 2011
TI cuts Q2 outlook; blames Nokia
TI cuts Q2 outlook; blames Nokia
"The Times They are a Changing"
- Bob Dylan
There was a time when I had debated with some colleagues the value of strategically focusing on Apple. Motorola's RAZR was the fashion hit of the wireless world. After conquering Motorola design wins we need to capture share at Nokia. They define the cell phone world....
Well, Nokia is still big. But, one of the problems in technology marketing can be lack of vision. "Smart phones only had 5% of the global market. Who would pay such a premium for an iPhone. Apple only has 3-5% of the computing market..."
I will avoid the over-used, 'Hindsight is 20/20,' rejoinder. We often look at social and economic trends. Just as important are technology trends. It's not about technology for the sake of technology. Look for the intersection of enabling technologies that support the social, economic, and market trends.
E.g. The iPad was Apple's biggest flop...when it was called the Newton in the 1990s. The technologies enabling it to become an industry defining product had not yet been developed. Success came when the enabling technologies were available and intersected with the market.
But, isn't this about TI and Nokia? Yes, TI is fortunate to have such a big piece of such a huge player (as measured in units). But, the technology driving products are coming from Apple, Samsung, and LG. Sometimes what makes a company successful is what later holds it back. Nokia is finally admitting that their OS doesn't cut it anymore. RIM (Blackberry) is finally embracing touchscreen technology. What made Palm (formerly 3Com, formerly U.S. Robotics) an industry defining company is what killed it. They kept it simple and did a great job at not being all things to all applications. But, the intersection of essential enabling technology has now allowed iPhone to be so much more. Monochrome is dead. We live in a world of vivid color.
This isn't just a Tech Sector issue; think Auto industry. While the U.S. automotive industry was losing the war with Japan, they missed the challenges now emerging from Korea. And then there was that whole energy efficient hybrid which makes up only a couple of % of the total market...hmmm...that sounds like the smartphone market 5 years ago. But, that market is still changing. New battery technology and regenerative energy designs will enable fully electric vehicles.
Where was I...oh yes, TI and Nokia. Well let's just say:
"If you don't like change, you are going to like irrelevance even less."
General Eric Shinseki, Chief of Staff, U.S. Army
"The Times They are a Changing"
- Bob Dylan
There was a time when I had debated with some colleagues the value of strategically focusing on Apple. Motorola's RAZR was the fashion hit of the wireless world. After conquering Motorola design wins we need to capture share at Nokia. They define the cell phone world....
Well, Nokia is still big. But, one of the problems in technology marketing can be lack of vision. "Smart phones only had 5% of the global market. Who would pay such a premium for an iPhone. Apple only has 3-5% of the computing market..."
I will avoid the over-used, 'Hindsight is 20/20,' rejoinder. We often look at social and economic trends. Just as important are technology trends. It's not about technology for the sake of technology. Look for the intersection of enabling technologies that support the social, economic, and market trends.
E.g. The iPad was Apple's biggest flop...when it was called the Newton in the 1990s. The technologies enabling it to become an industry defining product had not yet been developed. Success came when the enabling technologies were available and intersected with the market.
But, isn't this about TI and Nokia? Yes, TI is fortunate to have such a big piece of such a huge player (as measured in units). But, the technology driving products are coming from Apple, Samsung, and LG. Sometimes what makes a company successful is what later holds it back. Nokia is finally admitting that their OS doesn't cut it anymore. RIM (Blackberry) is finally embracing touchscreen technology. What made Palm (formerly 3Com, formerly U.S. Robotics) an industry defining company is what killed it. They kept it simple and did a great job at not being all things to all applications. But, the intersection of essential enabling technology has now allowed iPhone to be so much more. Monochrome is dead. We live in a world of vivid color.
This isn't just a Tech Sector issue; think Auto industry. While the U.S. automotive industry was losing the war with Japan, they missed the challenges now emerging from Korea. And then there was that whole energy efficient hybrid which makes up only a couple of % of the total market...hmmm...that sounds like the smartphone market 5 years ago. But, that market is still changing. New battery technology and regenerative energy designs will enable fully electric vehicles.
Where was I...oh yes, TI and Nokia. Well let's just say:
"If you don't like change, you are going to like irrelevance even less."
General Eric Shinseki, Chief of Staff, U.S. Army
Wednesday, June 8, 2011
The future of MEMS: Rethinking business strategies and manufacturing technology for volume systems markets - Small Times
The future of MEMS: Rethinking business strategies and manufacturing technology for volume systems markets - Small Times
With The MEMS market set to hit $10 billion by the end of the year and $20 billion by 2016 manufacturers are working to adapt technology. The push for ever smaller devices will create challenges in packaging as well as wafer bonding and Through Silicon Vias (TSV) for a stacked architecture.
With The MEMS market set to hit $10 billion by the end of the year and $20 billion by 2016 manufacturers are working to adapt technology. The push for ever smaller devices will create challenges in packaging as well as wafer bonding and Through Silicon Vias (TSV) for a stacked architecture.
Tuesday, June 7, 2011
Google invests US$168 million in world’s largest solar power tower plant
Google invests US$168 million in world’s largest solar power tower plant
Google has now invested over $250M in clean energy.
At peak usage time this solar power tower plant will generate enough energy to support 140,000 homes.
This solar plant will nearly double the solar power in the U.S.
Google has now invested over $250M in clean energy.
At peak usage time this solar power tower plant will generate enough energy to support 140,000 homes.
This solar plant will nearly double the solar power in the U.S.
Friday, June 3, 2011
Dispersed Energy Storage
Dispersed Energy Storage
Battery solution from American Electric Power (AEP) offers a solution to help power grid load-leveling by providing dispersed energy storage in a Sodium Sulfer (NaS) battery.
Battery solution from American Electric Power (AEP) offers a solution to help power grid load-leveling by providing dispersed energy storage in a Sodium Sulfer (NaS) battery.
Tuesday, May 31, 2011
Crazy Eddie...gone but, not forgotten.
For anyone who grew up in the New York Metropolitan area in the 1970s and 1980s you may remember the most obnoxious and successful ad campaign ever. Crazy Eddie was a discount electronic store. They were like Best Buy but smaller and without the dignity. If you tried to get up during a television commercial break you couldn't escape the screaming of the character who told you how low the prices were for the weekly specials. "CRAZY EDDIE IS INSANE! HE'S PRACTICALLY GIVING IT ALL AAAWWWAAAAAYYYYY!!!!!" The owner of the chain, his name really was Eddie, did declare bankruptcy along with other financial problems.
Crazy Eddy epitomized interruption marketing. You were forced to hear the message whether you liked it or not. Fortunately, that was last century. We still have network television advertising. But, those networks are a bit more humble. First came choice (900 channels or more), then came conversation and engagement as companies are slowly relinquishing control of the message.
I have been a B2B marketer for my entire career. Twenty years ago I would have a sales person from a trade magazine tell me that they have a circulation of 100,000+ therefore, my quarter page ad on page 89 is getting 100,000 impressions for a low CPM...no it wasn't. Who reads a trade publication cover to cover as well as the ads? if you do, just don't tell your supervisor right before a review. If the ad is relevant and effective it will catch my attention if I happen to open to that page and I'm not in a hurry to a meeting or have another deadline to meet...
In the world of internet marketing and social media it is not about mass market impressions and advertising. It is about relevant information to a well defined segment that want's the information you have. As someone said, we are no longer advertisers we are publishers.
CPM was always a vague leap of faith for most non-mega budget marketers. Call to actions and clickthroughs are more meaningful. Advertising is about holding your attention to make you watch or listen. Social media is about engagement with a community. These communities often become self-defining markets because they opt in. As Seth Godin would say, it is 'Permission Marketing.'
In a world of engagement, actions speak loud enough. You don't have to scream. And, if you capture the Voice of the Customer, you don't even have to 'GIVE IT ALL AWAY'.
Crazy Eddy epitomized interruption marketing. You were forced to hear the message whether you liked it or not. Fortunately, that was last century. We still have network television advertising. But, those networks are a bit more humble. First came choice (900 channels or more), then came conversation and engagement as companies are slowly relinquishing control of the message.
I have been a B2B marketer for my entire career. Twenty years ago I would have a sales person from a trade magazine tell me that they have a circulation of 100,000+ therefore, my quarter page ad on page 89 is getting 100,000 impressions for a low CPM...no it wasn't. Who reads a trade publication cover to cover as well as the ads? if you do, just don't tell your supervisor right before a review. If the ad is relevant and effective it will catch my attention if I happen to open to that page and I'm not in a hurry to a meeting or have another deadline to meet...
In the world of internet marketing and social media it is not about mass market impressions and advertising. It is about relevant information to a well defined segment that want's the information you have. As someone said, we are no longer advertisers we are publishers.
CPM was always a vague leap of faith for most non-mega budget marketers. Call to actions and clickthroughs are more meaningful. Advertising is about holding your attention to make you watch or listen. Social media is about engagement with a community. These communities often become self-defining markets because they opt in. As Seth Godin would say, it is 'Permission Marketing.'
In a world of engagement, actions speak loud enough. You don't have to scream. And, if you capture the Voice of the Customer, you don't even have to 'GIVE IT ALL AWAY'.
Friday, May 27, 2011
John Lettieri on Digg
Follow me on Digg for more current articles spanning news in: Solar, electronics, semiconductors, nano-technology, materials.
http://digg.com/JohnLettieri
Articles will range from company news to technology advancements to market update information.
Also, follow me on twitter:
http://twitter.com/JohnLettieri
http://digg.com/JohnLettieri
Articles will range from company news to technology advancements to market update information.
Also, follow me on twitter:
http://twitter.com/JohnLettieri
Thursday, May 19, 2011
Major IC makers are on 450mm wafers, says ISMI - Solid State Technology
Major IC makers are on 450mm wafers, says ISMI - Solid State Technology
The 'debate is over', says Tom Jefferson, 450mm program manager at ISMI. The key challenge is getting all the stakeholders and suppliers lined up to be ready at the same time. See this video for the interview.
The 'debate is over', says Tom Jefferson, 450mm program manager at ISMI. The key challenge is getting all the stakeholders and suppliers lined up to be ready at the same time. See this video for the interview.
Wednesday, May 18, 2011
Varian, Novellus top VLSI customer survey
Varian, Novellus top VLSI customer survey
Recently Applied Materials (AMAT) made news by paying an approximately 50% premium to acquire Varian Semicondcutor Equipment Associates (VSEA). Varian is the industry leading ion implantation equipment manufacturer. The initial focus was on the portfolio fit. Buying Varian fills a big hole in AMAT's portfolio as they exited ion implantation approximately 4 years ago. They also picked up Varian's Solar equipment line (Solion).
This is enough reason for AMAT's interest. But, in marketing the one thing that is most difficult to copy is not product or price but, rather relationships. Varian's recent top award for customer service (nine times in a row) demonstrates just how bright the Varian diamond shines.
Recently Applied Materials (AMAT) made news by paying an approximately 50% premium to acquire Varian Semicondcutor Equipment Associates (VSEA). Varian is the industry leading ion implantation equipment manufacturer. The initial focus was on the portfolio fit. Buying Varian fills a big hole in AMAT's portfolio as they exited ion implantation approximately 4 years ago. They also picked up Varian's Solar equipment line (Solion).
This is enough reason for AMAT's interest. But, in marketing the one thing that is most difficult to copy is not product or price but, rather relationships. Varian's recent top award for customer service (nine times in a row) demonstrates just how bright the Varian diamond shines.
Evolution of Supercapacitors | Hardware Design Articles | EEWeb
Evolution of Supercapacitors | Hardware Design Articles | EEWeb
When Technologies Collide:
Have you ever wondered why certain markets seem to burgeon almost overnight. Tablets were virtually non-existent a couple years ago. The iPhone has only been around a few years and it has re-shaped the cell phone industry. The iPod redefined music delivery in a few short years. Hybrid and electric cars have gone from fringe markets to rapidly growing. And then, there is solar power....
Solar cells have been around for decades. Electric powered vehicles have been around for a long time in special vehicles like golf carts. GM introduced and then squashed (literally) an electric car long before the Prius. Oh, and tablets...the Apple Newton was around last century and was one of Apple's few product flops. But, today the iPad is a sensation.
It is not that people wouldn't have wanted these products earlier but, they were not practical to make. Sometimes technology has to catch up to aspiration. More specifically it is the intersection of several technologies. Broadband, USB, touch screen technology, battery life, flat screen technology, lighter construction materials, nano-technology providing stronger and lighter materials, new lighting technologies - both for illumination e.g. LEDs and CFL and luminance e.g. back lighting for displays, high density data storage technology, and of course content...lot's of content. It is the intersection of the breakthroughs in many of these categories (to name only a few) that have enabled products that provide value performance and meet mass market price points.
In alternative energy, such as solar powered grids or hybrid / electric cars, one of the key hurdles has been not just the generation of the power but the storage and recapture of the power. When the sun goes down electricity is still in demand. This means that solar farms cannot provide primary sources of energy unless they can store it. When the wind isn't blowing the turbine blades the energy demand is still there. These technologies can provide a valuable supplementary supply of energy on top of traditional carbon based energy sources. But, if the electricity generated can be stored then these technologies can step up to a source of primary power.
One of the enabling technologies for this will be super capacitors, also known as ultra capacitors. Batteries have one big draw back, they take a while to charge. Super capacitors can be charged in seconds. One application will be in transportation. When a car, train, or bus comes to a halt, energy is expended and dissipated in the form of heat. Regenerative technologies can capture this energy and store it relatively quickly in a bank of super capacitors. They can then be used as a source of burst energy when the vehicle goes in motion. Even a crane expends energy when its boom drops. A significant percentage of this energy can be recaptured, stored and used to lift the boom again.
We have not reached the day of the perfect closed loop generator. But, developing means to recapture kinetic energy will be a key to increasing our ability to keep pace with our growing need for energy without increasing our carbon footprint. Maybe some day we will be able to ween our selves off of relying upon fossilized dinosaurs to power our society. Then those forms of power generation will be next to become extinct...possibly.
When Technologies Collide:
Have you ever wondered why certain markets seem to burgeon almost overnight. Tablets were virtually non-existent a couple years ago. The iPhone has only been around a few years and it has re-shaped the cell phone industry. The iPod redefined music delivery in a few short years. Hybrid and electric cars have gone from fringe markets to rapidly growing. And then, there is solar power....
Solar cells have been around for decades. Electric powered vehicles have been around for a long time in special vehicles like golf carts. GM introduced and then squashed (literally) an electric car long before the Prius. Oh, and tablets...the Apple Newton was around last century and was one of Apple's few product flops. But, today the iPad is a sensation.
It is not that people wouldn't have wanted these products earlier but, they were not practical to make. Sometimes technology has to catch up to aspiration. More specifically it is the intersection of several technologies. Broadband, USB, touch screen technology, battery life, flat screen technology, lighter construction materials, nano-technology providing stronger and lighter materials, new lighting technologies - both for illumination e.g. LEDs and CFL and luminance e.g. back lighting for displays, high density data storage technology, and of course content...lot's of content. It is the intersection of the breakthroughs in many of these categories (to name only a few) that have enabled products that provide value performance and meet mass market price points.
In alternative energy, such as solar powered grids or hybrid / electric cars, one of the key hurdles has been not just the generation of the power but the storage and recapture of the power. When the sun goes down electricity is still in demand. This means that solar farms cannot provide primary sources of energy unless they can store it. When the wind isn't blowing the turbine blades the energy demand is still there. These technologies can provide a valuable supplementary supply of energy on top of traditional carbon based energy sources. But, if the electricity generated can be stored then these technologies can step up to a source of primary power.
One of the enabling technologies for this will be super capacitors, also known as ultra capacitors. Batteries have one big draw back, they take a while to charge. Super capacitors can be charged in seconds. One application will be in transportation. When a car, train, or bus comes to a halt, energy is expended and dissipated in the form of heat. Regenerative technologies can capture this energy and store it relatively quickly in a bank of super capacitors. They can then be used as a source of burst energy when the vehicle goes in motion. Even a crane expends energy when its boom drops. A significant percentage of this energy can be recaptured, stored and used to lift the boom again.
We have not reached the day of the perfect closed loop generator. But, developing means to recapture kinetic energy will be a key to increasing our ability to keep pace with our growing need for energy without increasing our carbon footprint. Maybe some day we will be able to ween our selves off of relying upon fossilized dinosaurs to power our society. Then those forms of power generation will be next to become extinct...possibly.
Tuesday, May 17, 2011
Hemlock Semi may expand Tennessee plant
Hemlock Semi may expand Tennessee plant
Hemlock is adding U.S. jobs while expanding their Solar grade polycrystalline silicon production. Much of the growth in solar has come from Europe. But, the U.S. is trying to spur alternative energy solutions locally. Over 75% of solar cells use crystal silicon wafers. Other solar cells typically use thin film technology. Currently Cadmium Telluride (CdTe) is the leading technology. Long-term there are good arguments for Copper Indium Gallium (di) Selenide (CIGS). The cost is lower, energy efficiency improvements are being made. And, CIGS on a flexible substrate (not glass) offers the possibility for new building materials such as the DOW™ POWERHOUSE™ materials. see: http://www.dowsolar.com/
The solar grade polysilicon is the key ingredient for making those wafers. Semiconductor grade polysilicon is of a higher purity. A typical semiconductor wafer e.g. 300mm can easily cost over $80-$100. With tight specifications this can be much higher. A solar wafer may cost less than $4. Hemlock is ensuring that they have adequate capacity for the projected growth of crystal silicon based solar wafers.
Hemlock is adding U.S. jobs while expanding their Solar grade polycrystalline silicon production. Much of the growth in solar has come from Europe. But, the U.S. is trying to spur alternative energy solutions locally. Over 75% of solar cells use crystal silicon wafers. Other solar cells typically use thin film technology. Currently Cadmium Telluride (CdTe) is the leading technology. Long-term there are good arguments for Copper Indium Gallium (di) Selenide (CIGS). The cost is lower, energy efficiency improvements are being made. And, CIGS on a flexible substrate (not glass) offers the possibility for new building materials such as the DOW™ POWERHOUSE™ materials. see: http://www.dowsolar.com/
The solar grade polysilicon is the key ingredient for making those wafers. Semiconductor grade polysilicon is of a higher purity. A typical semiconductor wafer e.g. 300mm can easily cost over $80-$100. With tight specifications this can be much higher. A solar wafer may cost less than $4. Hemlock is ensuring that they have adequate capacity for the projected growth of crystal silicon based solar wafers.
Silicon semiconductor wafer shipments edged up from Q1 2010 to Q1 2011 May 11, 2011 From Solid State Technology
The recovery for semiconductors is now entering its second year. Accounting for seasonal fluctuations the best comparison is a pro-forma year-on-year silicon shipment comparison. To account for the differences in wafer sizes the industry uses MSIE (million square inch equivalents). Although 2287 MSIE is a marginal 1% reduction from the previous quarter it is up 3.3% vs. the first quarter of 2010. Note: these figures do not include silicon wafers for the solar market.
The second quarter will likely show an uncharacteristic fall off due to the earthquake in Japan. Approximately 25% of the global wafer supply comes from Japan. But, expect this recovery to bump the second half of 2011. What remains to be seen is what part of that demand is unrecoverable. Also, wafer inventory will partly offset some of the second quarter supply issues.
The earthquake was undoubtedly a human and economic tragedy. One effect we will likely see on the market is a bit of support for average selling prices (ASP). The memory market was expected to see a significant ASP drop in the second half as supply was projected to exceed demand. This seems to be a perpetual cycle in this industry as capacity increases tend to over-shoot the market and cause price erosion for commodity Flash and NAND. But, with a tighter supply ASPs may have a bit more support in the second half. This will bode well for Samsung, Toshiba, Micron and the many Taiwanese memory manufacturers.
Whatever happens in the quarters to come the semiconductor industry remains a great case study in technology meets economics.
The second quarter will likely show an uncharacteristic fall off due to the earthquake in Japan. Approximately 25% of the global wafer supply comes from Japan. But, expect this recovery to bump the second half of 2011. What remains to be seen is what part of that demand is unrecoverable. Also, wafer inventory will partly offset some of the second quarter supply issues.
The earthquake was undoubtedly a human and economic tragedy. One effect we will likely see on the market is a bit of support for average selling prices (ASP). The memory market was expected to see a significant ASP drop in the second half as supply was projected to exceed demand. This seems to be a perpetual cycle in this industry as capacity increases tend to over-shoot the market and cause price erosion for commodity Flash and NAND. But, with a tighter supply ASPs may have a bit more support in the second half. This will bode well for Samsung, Toshiba, Micron and the many Taiwanese memory manufacturers.
Whatever happens in the quarters to come the semiconductor industry remains a great case study in technology meets economics.
Monday, May 16, 2011
TSMC joins Sematech, cites 450-mm wafer R&D
TSMC joins Sematech, cites 450-mm wafer R&D
As the cost of investing in advanced node semiconductor fabs continues to rise asymptotically the country club of companies that will be able to afford it will become more exclusive. This is a very favorable trend for TSMC (largest semi foundry in the solar system). Equipment makers don't want to foot the bill for the full R&D as they may never recover this. Therefore it is no surprise that there are a few companies like Intel, Samsung, and TSMC that are needed to drive the development of 450 mm silicon wafers. Many have speculated when they will be available in production. Mechanical samples are available today in limited quantities. Full production is probably 3-5 years away. There is still a lot of room for growth with migration to 300mm wafers. But, it is safe to say that we are now in the same decade as the often debated launch of 450 mm wafers.
As the cost of investing in advanced node semiconductor fabs continues to rise asymptotically the country club of companies that will be able to afford it will become more exclusive. This is a very favorable trend for TSMC (largest semi foundry in the solar system). Equipment makers don't want to foot the bill for the full R&D as they may never recover this. Therefore it is no surprise that there are a few companies like Intel, Samsung, and TSMC that are needed to drive the development of 450 mm silicon wafers. Many have speculated when they will be available in production. Mechanical samples are available today in limited quantities. Full production is probably 3-5 years away. There is still a lot of room for growth with migration to 300mm wafers. But, it is safe to say that we are now in the same decade as the often debated launch of 450 mm wafers.
Wednesday, May 11, 2011
TSMC sees 2% growth for 2011 chip market
TSMC sees 2% growth for 2011 chip market
TSMC is like E.F. Hutton. As the largest chip foundry in the solar system, when they speak, everyone listens. After a global economic implosion that began in the 4th quarter of 2008, the chip market has recovered well over the past 4-5 quarters. In addition to the human tragedy, the earthquake and subsequent nuclear meltdown in Japan has created a speed bump in the recovery which will probably take 6-9 months to settle. Due to the temporary contraction in the supply chain this is resulting in some higher asps for wafers, materials, and chips.
Although no one wants to see a drop in business nor the suffering it caused, a correction in prices is the one respite for suppliers. But the economy, like water, will seek its own level. The worst of the 2009 implosion should be behind us. Now we look forward to the convergence of technologies that will enable new applications that will drive the next wave of growth.
TSMC is like E.F. Hutton. As the largest chip foundry in the solar system, when they speak, everyone listens. After a global economic implosion that began in the 4th quarter of 2008, the chip market has recovered well over the past 4-5 quarters. In addition to the human tragedy, the earthquake and subsequent nuclear meltdown in Japan has created a speed bump in the recovery which will probably take 6-9 months to settle. Due to the temporary contraction in the supply chain this is resulting in some higher asps for wafers, materials, and chips.
Although no one wants to see a drop in business nor the suffering it caused, a correction in prices is the one respite for suppliers. But the economy, like water, will seek its own level. The worst of the 2009 implosion should be behind us. Now we look forward to the convergence of technologies that will enable new applications that will drive the next wave of growth.
Saturday, May 7, 2011
IHS iSuppli Reports Apple as the Second Largest Buyer of MEMS Sensors in 2010
IHS iSuppli Reports Apple as the Second Largest Buyer of MEMS Sensors in 2010
Smart Phones are driving the MEMS Microphones and sensors to stellar growth. Competition for this burgeoning market is now heating up as suppliers are descending on the market. Knowles has enjoyed a near 80% MEMS Microphone share for most of the past decade. The next 3 years will see intense competition as the market matures. History has shown that typically the top two or three suppliers will be significantly more profitable than those that lag. Who will they be?
Smart Phones are driving the MEMS Microphones and sensors to stellar growth. Competition for this burgeoning market is now heating up as suppliers are descending on the market. Knowles has enjoyed a near 80% MEMS Microphone share for most of the past decade. The next 3 years will see intense competition as the market matures. History has shown that typically the top two or three suppliers will be significantly more profitable than those that lag. Who will they be?
Thursday, May 5, 2011
AMAT-Varian deal: What analysts are saying
AMAT-Varian deal: What analysts are saying
If you can't beat them buy them:) AMAT has picked up the crown jewel of the ion implantation market and added Varian's Solar platform.
They paid a significant premium but, Varian's market clout and strong balance sheet complete the AMAT Dynasty.
Will ASML be the target of an acquisition? How are the most likely candidates.
If you can't beat them buy them:) AMAT has picked up the crown jewel of the ion implantation market and added Varian's Solar platform.
They paid a significant premium but, Varian's market clout and strong balance sheet complete the AMAT Dynasty.
Will ASML be the target of an acquisition? How are the most likely candidates.
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